← VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
Water AlliesTier 2
at VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1201
· range 1201–1201
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1307
Q3 1420
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
